Projected Climate Data

These regional and national providers of projected climate data have data available for various climate parameters including temperature and precipitation at a range of time scales.

Environment and Climate Change Canada

  1. Climate Data and Scenarios Website and Report

    The Climate Research Division of Environment and Climate Change Canada has released a new update for the Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios (CCDS) website. CCDS provides access to “CMIP5” multi-model ensemble climate projections used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5th Assessment, while maintaining access to output from earlier assessments for continuity and comparison.  

    Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios (CCDS) website 

  2. Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma)

    CCCma has developed a number of climate models driven by scenarios from the IPCC Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports. Data from these climate models is available for downloading.

    Environment Canada CCCma 
     
  3. Temperature and Precipitation Probabilistic Forecasts

    The Canadian seasonal prediction system is a long-term prediction system which aims to forecast the evolution of global climate conditions.

    Environment Canada Probabilistic Forecasts 

Metro Vancouver

Climate Projections for Metro Vancouver

Temperatures in Metro Vancouver are warming. Global climate models project an average increase of about 3°C in our region by the 2050s. Metro Vancouver’s ability to adapt to climate change requires specific information on how changes in temperature and precipitation will play out locally, how expected changes may vary throughout the seasons, and about new climate extremes. Work has been completed by the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) to understand the details of how our climate may change by the 2050s and 2080s. 

Climate Projections for Metro Vancouver 

Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC)

  1. Gridded Hydrologic Model Output

    The Gridded Hydrologic Model Output page provides gridded projections of hydrologic states and fluxes and historical data for watersheds in BC. The simulations are generated using statistically downscaled global climate model (GCM) projections driven by emissions scenarios from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES).
    PCIC Gridded Hydrological Model Output page 

  2. Plan2Adapt Tool

    The Plan2Adapt Tool generates maps, plots, and data describing projected future climate conditions for regions throughout BC. This tool uses an ensemble of 15 Global Climate Models (GCMs) driven by A2 and B1 emission scenarios from the IPCC Special Report of Emission Scenarios (SRES).
    PCIC Plan2Adapt Tool 

  3. Regional Analysis Tool

    The Regional Analysis Tool generates maps and plots data describing projected future climate conditions for the Pacific and Yukon Region. It uses an ensemble of more than 15 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and emission scenarios from the IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES).
    PCIC Regional Analysis Tool 

  4. Station Hydrologic Model Output

    The Station Hydrologic Model Output page provides simulated streamflow data and historical data for watersheds in BC. The simulations are generated using statistically downscaled global climate model (GCM) projections driven by emissions scenarios from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES).
    PCIC Station Hydrological Model Output page 

  5. Statistically Downscaled Climate Scenarios

    The Statistically downscaled daily Canada-wide climate scenarios are for the simulated period of 1950-2100. Users can select and download scenarios for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), however expertise in GIS is required to process the output data. 
    PCIC Statically Downscaled Climate Scenarios 

University of British Columbia, Centre for Forest Conservation Genetics (CFCG)

ClimateBC

ClimateBC allows the user to access and map historical data and future climate datasets from 15 Global Circulation Models (GCMs) driven by representative concentration pathways (RCPs) from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. 

CFCG ClimateBC Interactive Map 

University of Western Ontario

IDF CC Tool

This tool produces historical IDF curves and IDF curves under climate change using global climate models (GCMs) driven by representative concentration pathways from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. There are some uncertainties associated with projecting sub-daily precipitation intensities in the current version of this tool that professionals should research and consider when applying it to their projects.

University of Western Ontario IDF CC Tool 

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